ST. GEORGE’S, GRENADA, October 13th — Canadian-based Grenadian political analyst Dr. Justine Pierre is predicting that Prime Minister Dickon Mitchell’s National Democratic Congress would lose its parliamentary mandate if general elections were held today.

According to Dr. Pierre’s latest research and polling data, the NDC would capture only six seats in the House of Representatives—a precipitous drop from the 10 seats it currently controls.

Meanwhile, the New National Party (NNP), led by Emmalin Pierre, would secure seven seats.

In comparison, Peter David’s D’Movement would claim two crucial seats, positioning itself as the potential kingmaker in Grenada’s evolving political landscape.

“If general elections were held in Grenada today, our projections indicate that the National Democratic Congress would secure six seats,” Dr. Pierre stated in his analysis.

“The NNP would capture seven, and The Movement, led by Peter David, would obtain two.”

This projection represents a dramatic reversal of fortune for the NDC, which swept to power in 2022. Dr. Pierre, whose organization accurately predicted that NDC victory, suggests the current political climate favors a historic change.

“The NNP would most likely form the next government, positioning Mrs. Emmalin Pierre as the country’s next Prime Minister,” Dr. Pierre predicted, noting that his 2022 research found 57% of the electorate expressed preference for female leadership.

The analyst attributes the NDC’s vulnerability to “six major psychological weaknesses” currently undermining its standing, including growing public unease with Prime Minister Mitchell’s frequent overseas travel.

Dr. Pierre quoted one NDC supporter’s frustration: “Sir, Grenada currently has an emergency with the situation with Donald Trump, and the PM is nowhere around; he has not even cut short his trip to come back home.”

Dr. Pierre’s analysis identifies structural electoral factors favoring the opposition, such as higher NNP voter loyalty (58% versus 36.5% for NDC over two decades) and the fact that women, who outnumber men among registered voters, have previously demonstrated strong support for female leadership.

Perhaps most intriguingly, Dr. Pierre suggests that “should this scenario unfold, Prime Minister Dickon Mitchell may resign from both the party and active politics, potentially triggering a significant leadership vacuum.”

The analyst emphasizes not to discount D’Movement’s potential influence: “In this configuration, The Movement, with its two seats, would emerge as the decisive balance of power capable of shaping legislation, coalition agreements, and the broader policy direction.”

Dr. Pierre’s econometric analysis recommends the government consider calling early elections in late 2026 or early 2027, mirroring his successful 2022 guidance.

“The coming months will reveal whether these trends hold,” Dr. Pierre concluded. “One thing, however, is certain: Grenada’s political future is entering a period of profound transition, one in which D’Movement should not be counted out.”